Saturday, November 9, 2019

Dignified retirement and affordable housing It's a win-win




    Back in the day (in 2000) people under 35 were called post baby-boomers or gen x.  Now the same 18-35 year old age cohort is called millenials or gen y or z.  Your humble blogger rustedaspie was within the 18-35 year old cohort in 2000. 

  One book of public policy prescriptions released in 2000 was called "We've Got Issues" the Get Real, No B.S., Guilt-Free Guide to What Really Matters" by Meredith Bagby. 


  One policy discussion on page 112 of the paperback edition discussed the basics of defined contribution (with an employer match to attract people to accept job offers)  401k accounts, IRA accounts and Roth IRA accounts that were replacing defined benefit pensions.  


   The jury is still out on whether these new investment vehicles encourage savings.  But assuming they do, many politicians are lobbying to extend the amount an investor can contribute in order build our overall savings.  

                                                        page 112
 in this book "We've Got Issues"


   By 2016 the separate independent reporting of 2 journalists had found the same conclusion.  The defined contribution retirement plan, sometimes matched by employers, was a failure as a replacement for defined benefit pensions. 


  Hedrick Smith in 2006 "Can you afford to retire?"  and David Dayen in 2016 found that the 401k retirement revolution wasn't working.
People compensate for lack of savings growth in higher demands for resale housing (with renovations to kitchens, bathrooms, patios, basements think ‘man caves’) if people keep living in a house longer.  Housing sale and rental prices become unaffordable to people now with higher student loan debt trying to qualify for a steady job not multiple freelance consulting gigs in the sharing (renting) economy.   I wrote earlier about how the sharing economy uses excess capacity well while inequitably distributing the income growth in another post on this blog.

  Labor (workers or workforce) were paid less of new income (GDP) growth particularly since the 2008 'great recession' or crash of stock and securitized debt (home mortgage) markets. Lower top tax rates on the increasingly unequally high end of earnings leave less income tax revenue at all levels of government taxing income.  

 Scrapping the FICA cap in order to tax all income for social security will strengthen it.  A compromise is to radically raise the cap that rises annually by small amounts (one of the annual CPI inflation rates).  People will feel less pressure to replace retirement savings losses or low increases by demanding 'top dollar' when selling a primary residence.  Unbundle home equity growth from retirement savings growth.  Housing will remain more affordable without seller pressure to get a big capital gain for two needs, retirement and buying new housing to move to. 


   

No comments:

Post a Comment